The Power Of Rebound

Last week, Monday, we were greeted by the news that the satisfaction and trust ratings of President Rodrigo “Digong” Roa Duterte had fallen. These happened in the quarterly surveys of the Social Weather Stations (SWS) between the second and third quarters of this year.

Critics and the Opposition were quick to grab the above as signs that the Honeymoon with the Duterte Administration was over and that the beginning of the end had started. However, we should caution everyone to study the matter closely first before drawing such conclusions.

The SWS system subtracts the negative from the positive. Then, it gives you a net satisfaction or trust rating. That is like a right minus wrong grading system. For example, the usual system would be that if you get eighty out of one hundred correct, your grade would be eighty percent. However, if we do it the SWS way, it would be eighty minus twenty equals sixty. Eighty appears and sounds good while sixty appears and sounds bad. However. they are exactly the same.

 

From Where Votes Came

The decrease occurred in the D & E socio-economic classes. These are the classes that deliver the quantity of votes needed to win elections. However, elections are still very far away. It is the ABC classes that influence others more in the time before the elections.

The drop happened in only two out of four areas that the nationwide survey was divided into – “Rest of Luzon” and the “Visayas”. Duterte maintained his ratings in NCR and Mindanao.

The Administration, the incumbent and the side that wields power has the power of rebound. The Cory, Ramos and Erap Administrations displayed this dramatically.  

 

Yesterday

About a third of the way into her Administration (Feb 25, 1986 – June 30, 1992), the Cory Administration appeared to be in paralysis. She had been wracked by several coup attempts. Then, in October of 1998, she delivered her “Committee of One” speech at the Manila Hotel. Instantly, she was able to reverse the perception people had of her Administration.

Halfway into his six years, President Fidel Valdez Ramos’s Administration was wracked by three crises.  A Filipina domestic worker in Singapore. Flor Contemplacion, was convicted of murder and executed. A combination of Muslim rebel groups raided the town of Ipil in Zamboanga del Sur on April 3, 1995. Today, Ipil is the capital of a separate province, Zamboanga Sibugay. Finally, a rice crisis occurred. A shortage occurred, Lines developed. The price went up. 

Ramos’s popularity, satisfaction and trust ratings went down. However, by 1996, he had recovered.

President Joseph Ejercito Estrada maintained his popularity for a year and a quarter. In the last quarter of 1999, his popularity, satisfaction and trust ratings started to drop. In the first quarter of 2000, the trend continued. The same would have happened in the second quarter except that the “All-out war in Mindanao” flared up. The latter reversed the trend and Erap’s ratings went up in the second and third quarters.

 

Like us in Facebook

Features

Latest News

50 emerging technologies will drive global economy in near future

  By Rose de la Cruz   A business consulting firm, Frost & Sullivan, projected that 50 emerging technologies will drive the global economy in... Read More...
IMAGE Spreading growth outside metropolis will reduce traffic

  By Rose de la Cruz  The National Spatial Strategy, spelled out under the Philippine Development Plan 2017-2022, is designed to spread development... Read More...
Comelec control urged for narco-infested LGUs

  By Francisco Benjamin Garcia   Rep. Bernadette Herrera-Dy, chairman of the committee on public information at the lower house has urged that... Read More...
IMAGE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE STORM

WHILE the modernization of public utility vehicles has always been in the wish list of past administrations, thought of as a solution to the... Read More...
The reason why God created woman (and other laughs)

The reason why God created woman Man says to God, “God, why did you make woman so beautiful?” God answers, “So you would love her.” “But... Read More...
R18: The Difference Between a Man and a Woman and Others

The difference between a man and a woman A COUPLE was told to individually write a sentence usingthe words “love” and sex.” The woman wrote:... Read More...
IMAGE ARAL SA ASEAN SUMMIT

IDINEKLARA ni acting Interior Secretary Catalino Cuy na tagumpay ang ginanap na Asean Summit sa bansa. Sa paningin ni Cuy ay matagumpay ang nasabing... Read More...
IMAGE A STEP IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION

Editorial cartoon by Ed Rompal NEWLY minted Bureau of Customs Commissioner Isidro Lapeña is doing a great job.  What his predecessors had failed to... Read More...

Our Guests

Today667
Yesterday955
This week4227
This month18981
Total794587

Visitor Info

  • Your IP: 54.80.33.183

Who Is Online

36
Online

Thursday, 23 November 2017
© 2016 OpinYon News Magazine Online. All Rights Reserved.

Please publish modules in offcanvas position.